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Research

Working Papers
  1. Chun-Che Chi, Cameron LaPoint and Ming-Jen Lin(2020), "Flip or Flop? Tobin Taxes in the Real Estate Market", Under Review.
  2. Chun-Fang Chiang, Semin Kim, SunTak Kim, Chien-Hsun Lin and Ming-Jen Lin(2020), "Can Partisan News Shift Political Reference and Voting Behavior? Expremental Evidence from Taiwan’s General Election 2016", Under Review.
  3. Wei-Lun Lee, Ming-Jen Lin, Hsuan-Li Su, and Yi-Chan Tsai(2020), "Income Inequality, Growth Inequality, and Redistribution in Taiwan, 2001-2015: Evidence from Distributional National Accounts", Under Review.
Publications:(* indicates the corresponding author)
English
28
Curriculum and National Identity: Evidence from the 1997 Curriculum Reform in Taiwan

2023

Wei-Lin Chen, Ming-Jen Lin, Tzu-Ting Yang

Journal of Development Economics  volume163(C), Article number: 103078.

This paper examines the causal effects of textbook content on individuals’ national identity, by exploiting a curriculum reform that introduced a new perspective on Taiwan’s history for students entering junior high school after September 1997. Using a repeated nationally representative survey and a regression discontinuity design, we show that students exposed to the new textbooks were more likely to hold exclusive Taiwanese identity rather than dual identity (i.e. Taiwanese and Chinese). The effect was greater for academic track students and those living in neighborhoods where fewer people identify as Taiwanese. In addition, our results suggest that the new curriculum had little impact on people’s political preferences related to Taiwan independence. Finally, we find that the probability of reporting as Taiwanese among old textbook readers converges with that of people reading new textbooks in the long run since the perspectives of old textbooks are in conflict with the recent social trends.

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27
Distributional National Accounts of Taiwan, 1981-2017

2023

Cyrus Chu, Chien-Yu Chen, Ming-Jen Lin, Hsuan-Li Su

Taiwan Economic Review, 51(2), pp137-181.

We construct the pre-tax Distributional National Accounts (DINA) of Taiwan from 1981 to 2017 using survey data. Our DINA individual income series demonstrates a much larger inequality than previous results using tax tabulations and tax units. This difference is mainly due to a change in the unit of observation and the treatment of corporate retained earnings. We find that income inequality was stable in the 1980s and began to rise after the mid-1990s. After 2000, this trend further accelerated. We then estimate the distribution of economic growth. From 1981 to 2001, Taiwan experienced a period of rapid economic growth, with a growth rate of 7.32 percent annually and a fairly equal distribution of growth. From 2001 to 2017, the aggregate growth rate declined to 2.47 percent with a deteriorating distribution of growth. The increasing inequality in income and growth distribution is due to the combination of a worsening capital income distribution and rising retained earnings.

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26
Reducing Recommendation Inequality via Two-Sided Matching: A Field Experiment of Online Dating

2023

Kuan-Ming Chen, Yu-Wei Hsieh, Ming-Jen Lin

International Economic Review, 64(3),pp1201-1221.

Leading recommender systems may recommend only a small fraction of users on the dating platform since the algorithms often exploit popularity and similarity that reinforce preference homogeneity and assortative mating in the marriage market. We apply a stylized matching model in economics to the existing algorithms to reduce inequality, and we evaluate the proposed method by a large-scale field experiment through a dating app. Experiment results suggest that our recommender reduces inequality, improves predictive accuracy, and leads to substantially more matched couples than other competing algorithms.

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25
Political ideology predicts preventative behaviors and infections amid COVID-19 in democracies

2022

Hans H.Tung, Teng-Jen Chang, Ming-Jen Lin

Social Science & Medicine

Can one's political ideology predict his or her testing positive for COVID-19 and how? The present study leveraged a recent (April–May 2020) survey of 27,260 individuals across 27 democracies to investigate the associations between political ideology and coronavirus infections. Our individual-level data and mediation analyses allow us to tease out different correlational paths according to which one's political ideology affects his or her infection. We found a more right-leaning attitude to be associated with a higher probability of testing positive both directly and indirectly through conspiracy theory beliefs and physical distancing. Moreover, our cross-national investigation also found that becoming more right-leaning in ideology was associated with a higher level of perceived risk of COVID-19 infection, which made one less likely to test positive. Combined, we provide a more nuanced understanding of the role played by political ideology in the current pandemic, on which the design of a more effective risk communication strategy can be based.

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24
Predicting attitudinal and behavioral responses to COVID-19 pandemic using machine learning

2022

Tomislav Pavlović, Flavio Azevedo, Koustav De, Julián C Riaño-Moreno, Marina Maglić, Lin, Ming-Jen.... more

PNAS Nexus

At the beginning of 2020, COVID-19 became a global problem. Despite all the efforts to emphasize the relevance of preventive measures, not everyone adhered to them. Thus, learning more about the characteristics determining attitudinal and behavioral responses to the pandemic is crucial to improving future interventions. In this study, we applied machine learning on the multi-national data collected by the International Collaboration on the Social and Moral Psychology of COVID-19 (N = 51,404) to test the predictive efficacy of constructs from social, moral, cognitive, and personality psychology, as well as socio-demographic factors, in the attitudinal and behavioral responses to the pandemic. The results point to several valuable insights. Internalized moral identity provided the most consistent predictive contribution—individuals perceiving moral traits as central to their self-concept reported higher adherence to preventive measures. Similar was found for morality as cooperation, symbolized moral identity, self-control, open-mindedness, collective narcissism, while the inverse relationship was evident for the endorsement of conspiracy theories. However, we also found a non-negligible variability in the explained variance and predictive contributions with respect to macro-level factors such as the pandemic stage or cultural region. Overall, the results underscore the importance of morality-related and contextual factors in understanding adherence to public health recommendations during the pandemic.

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Chinese
8
入學管道與學習表現 (Multi-channel Admission and Academic Achievement)

2020

李維倫*、古慧雯、駱明慶、林明仁

經濟論文叢刊, 48(1), pp 31-76.

我們使用2007–14年間入學之台大學生的學籍資料、入學考試成績和在學成績,探討不同管道學生入學後的學業表現差異,並藉此評估多元入學政策在台大實施的成效。我們發現,以個人申請管道入學學生的學業成績雖然顯著優於透過指考入學的學生,但學測成績的差異即可解釋兩者入學後學業表現的大部分差異;控制學測成績後,申請生和指考生的學業成績並沒有顯著差異。而在轉系與退學的面向,申請、繁星生無論在轉系、成績因素退學和主動退學的比例,皆明顯低於指考生。在繁星計畫/繁星推薦方面,繁星生平均的學業表現優於申請生和指考生。這不只是來自明星高中繁星生的貢獻,非明星高中繁星生的學業表現平均而言也顯著高於指考生。然而如果只看來自2011–15年內無人以申請或指考進入台大的高中的繁星生,其學業成績則顯著低於指考生。此一差異也可以用學測成績的差異來解釋;控制學測成績後,這些繁星生和指考生的學業成績並沒有顯著差異。

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7
經濟學門學術期刊評比更新: 2019 年(Ranking of Economics Journals: the 2019 Update)

2019

林明仁.林常青.張俊仁.曹添旺.楊浩彥

經濟論文叢刊,47(4), pp 503-542.

本文延續曹添旺等(2013)《經濟論文》的研究,秉持客觀的量化分析與主觀的質化觀點並重的期刊排序分析原則。在考量快速變遷的國際期刊市場之下,針對快速崛起的重要期刊,給予適當的排序。同時,我們也將重新思考國內期刊對學界的重要性,並考量本土議題對台灣經濟及政策的影響,進一步給予國內期刊在期刊評比上新的地位。

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6
論家戶所得與資產對子女教育之影響—以1993-1995出生世代及其父母稅務資料為例 (Education Opportunity Inequality Across Income in Taiwan)

2019

沈暉智*、林明仁

經濟論文叢刊,47(3), pp 393-453.

本文探討親代所得與資產如何影響子代教育取得之機會。分析財稅資料中心2000–2015年之母體層級稅務資料,串連親代所得、資產及子代的就學資料後,發現家戶所得及資產與高等教育的就讀機會呈高度相關。台灣大學與公立學校的學生家戶年所得中位數分別超過150、100萬元,遠高於全體樣本中位數86萬元。進一步檢視各大專院校及學制的資產分佈,則凸顯不同學制間鉅額的財富差距及代際流動於教育管道的僵固。最後,各校每生平均教育經費支出與學生家戶所得組成間的正向關係,也凸顯了政府的教育經費補貼其實是反向重分配的事實。

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5
身高對學生綜合分析能力的影響:以「台灣教育長期追蹤資料庫」為例 ( Effect of Height on Cognitive Ability in Adolescence: Evidence from Taiwan Education Panel Survey)

2013

林明仁、蔡欣純、丁心嵐*

經濟論文(台灣經濟學會年會特刊),  41(4)pp 507-558.

本文探討身高對學生綜合分析能力的影響。以綜合分析能力做為認知能力的代表,OLS結果顯示身高與認知能力呈正相關,並排除身高是反映自尊、人際支配、健康、社團經驗、非認知能力等影響認知能力的假設。為修正可能因內生性問題導致的估計誤差,我們使用傾向分數法與「初經年齡」做為工具變數加以修正。我們發現女生初經年齡較早者青春期身高較高,其認知能力也較高。本文結果說明青春期的認知能力受到發育快慢的影響,越早進入青春期發育的青少年,認知能力越好。身高則是反映發育的時間點,因此可作為認知能力高低的代理變數。

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4
經濟學門學術期刊評比更新 (The Updated Ranking of Academic Journals in Economics)

2013

曹添旺*、王泓仁、林明仁、張俊仁、陳宜廷、黃粲堯

經濟論文,41(3), pp 327-361.

研究成果品質的判定,在高等教育與研究機構之學術表現評鑑,及內部人士聘用與升等上,都扮演著重要的角色。就經濟學門而言,期刊論文是最重要的研究成果出版形式,因此期刊品質的判定對經濟學門的發展十分重要。台灣過去幾年,已有不少針對國際期刊與本國期刊評比之論著,以及根據這些結果所計算出之學術單位表現。然而,相關研究發表至今,經濟學研究領域發生不少變動,也有許多新期刊快速興起;僅以SSCI資料庫收錄之經濟期刊而言,其收錄數也在近幾年從二百多種增加到三百多種。有鑑於此,本文爰採用文獻中新進提出的客觀量化排序方法、並參考傑出學者專家的意見,重新對當前的國際及國內經濟學期刊加以評比排序,俾供參考。

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