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Research

Publications:(* indicates the corresponding author)
English
15
Does Anxiety Affect Adolescent Academic Performance? Inverted-U Hypothesis Revised

2017

Shih, Hsiu Han and Ming-Jen Lin*

Journal of Labor Research,38(1), pp45-81.

The inverted-U relationship between anxiety and performance in the context of endogeneity has yet to be investigated. Junior high school students from Taiwan were used as the sample for investigating the effect of anxiety levels on the comprehensive analysis aptitude of students. The ordinary least square (OLS) analysis indeed confirmed the inverted-U relationship. In addition, both fixed-effect analysis and two-stage least square (2SLS) analysis using variation in acne severity to instrument for anxiety also concluded that anxiety increased performance at lower anxiety levels. However, this relationship was positive and insignificant at higher anxiety levels. Overall, our results supported the left (increasing) part of the inverted-U relationship between anxiety and performance, but found no evidence for the right (decreasing) part of the inverted-U relationship.

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14
Does “in Utero” Exposure to Illness Matter? The 1918 Influenza Epidemic in Taiwan as a Natural Experiment

2014

Lin, Ming-Jen*, and Elaine Liu

Journal of Health Economics,37, pp152-163.

This paper tests whether in utero conditions affect long-run developmental outcomes using the 1918 influenza pandemic in Taiwan as a natural experiment. Combining several historical and current datasets, we find that cohorts in utero during the pandemic are shorter as children/adolescents and less educated compared to other birth cohorts. We also find that they are more likely to have serious health problems including kidney disease, circulatory and respiratory problems, and diabetes in old age. Despite possible positive selection on health outcomes due to high infant mortality rates during this period (18%), our paper finds a strong negative impact of in utero exposure to influenza.

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13
More Missing Women, Fewer Dying Girls: The Impact of Sex Selective Abortion on Sex at Birth and Relative   Female Mortality in Taiwan

2014

Lin, Ming-Jen, Jin-Tan Liu and Nancy Qian*

Journal of the European Economic Association,12(4), pp899-926.

This study finds that the introduction of sex‐selective abortion in Taiwan due to the legalization of abortion when prenatal sex‐detection technology was already available increased the fraction of males born at higher parities and changed the composition of mothers choosing to give birth. Controlling for compositional changes, we find that access to sex‐selective abortion reduced relative neonatal female mortality rates for higher‐parity births.

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12
Television on Women's Empowerment in India

2014

Hsin-Lan Ting, Chon-Kit Ao, and Ming-Jen Lin*

Journal of Development Studies, 50(11)pp 1523-37. 

We used a nationwide demographic survey to study the relation between television exposure and women’s empowerment in India. Ordinary least squares (OLS) results suggested that TV exposure improved Indian women’s status. We used the propensity score matching (PSM) method to mitigate the potential threat of endogeneity. The results indicate that TV exposure is correlated with greater awareness of autonomy, greater financial independence, less unwanted pregnancy (birth control), negative attitude toward beating, a lower tendency of giving birth, a smaller family, and a lower preference level for sons.

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11
HBeAg(+) and Sex Ratio of Offspring: Evidence From Taiwan's 3 Million Newborns

2012

Ming-Jen Lin*, Pei-Jer Chen, and Ming-Ching Luoh

American Journal of Human Biology,24(4),pp 541-544.

OBJECTIVE:
Mothers sero-positive for hepatitis B are slightly more likely to have a son. It is not known whether it is ever having HBV (HBsAg[+]) or currently active HBV (HBeAg[+]) which is associated with having a son.
METHOD:
Multivariable linear regression was used to assess the adjusted association of HBeAg(+) with offspring sex in all (90%) births (~3 million) in Taiwan from 1988 to 1999.
RESULTS:
Totally, 5% of mothers were HBeAg(+). HBeAg(+) mothers were slightly more likely to have a son (sex ratio 108 rather than 106) adjusted for HBsAg, birth order, mother's age, birth year, and area of residence.
CONCLUSION:
At a population level HBV status makes little difference to the sex ratio at birth.

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Chinese
3
乾淨用水對長期健康及教育成就的影響:以1909-1933日治時期臺灣的水道建設為例 (The Effect of Clean Water on Long Term Health and Education Outcome: Evidence from Japanese Colonial Taiwan 1909-1933)

2012

林明仁*、賴建宇

經濟論文叢刊, 40(1), pp 1-35.(Ming-Jen Lin* & Jason Lai(2011), "The Effect of Clean Water on Long Term Health and Education Outcome: Evidence from Japanese Colonial Taiwan 1909-1933",Taiwan Economic Review,40(1), pp 1-35.)

本文之目的在於探討乾淨用水對一個人長久的影響。利用日治時期所留下的各類統計書,結合臺閩地區戶口及住宅普查(1980)與中老年身心社會生活狀況長期追蹤調查(1989),以一個人出生時所在地區的平均千人水栓數當作乾淨用水的指標,探討胎兒及嬰兒時期的乾淨用水對教育成就、健康狀況、婚姻狀況的影響。此外,為求解決外生性的問題,尚以各地區平均每人稅收作為工具變數來進行兩階段最小平方法迴歸(2SLS)。而無論是否使用工具變數,乾淨用水的確對教育成就、部分的長期健康狀況、婚姻狀況有顯著正向影響,特別是在教育成就上,無論以教育年數、識字、國小畢業、國中畢業、高中畢業或是大學畢業當作衡量教育成就的指標,皆能看出乾淨用水的正向效果。

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2
失蹤女性的成因與後果 (On the Causes and Consequences of Missing Women)

2011

林明仁

人口學刊,43, pp 99-108.

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1
失業真的會導致犯罪嗎?以台灣1978年至2003年縣市資料為例 (Does Unemployment Increases Crime? Evidence from County Data of Taiwan 1978--2003)

2006

林明仁*、劉仲偉

《經濟論文叢刊》, 34(4), pp 445-83. 

國外文獻一般認為失業率上升只會使財產犯罪增加(Levitt, 2004);然而幾乎所有迴歸結果都未考慮內生性的問題(Piehl, 1998)。本文首先簡單說明經濟理論如何預測失業與犯罪的關係,並討論同時性(simultaneity)如何對最小平方法(OLS)的估計造成偏誤。我們接著提出美元匯率、日圓匯率以及能源價格三者分別與製造業就業人口比例乘積作為失業率的工具變數,並從理論與弱工具變數測試(weak IV test)兩方面同時探討該組工具變數之有效性。在實證結果方面,雖然在最小平方法下失業率對各類犯罪影響幾乎都為正且顯著,但在兩階段最小平方法(2SLS)下,失業率只對財產犯罪 (主要在其中的竊盜一項) 有正的顯著影響,對暴力犯罪則無。且2SLS 估計值皆大於OLS的結果。最後,過度認定測試 (overidentification test) 的結果也從統計上支持這些工具變數的外生性。

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